عنوان قارسی مقاله: شبیه سازی مونت کارلو در تصمیم گیری
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
فهرست مطالب
Monte Carlo Simulation in Decision Making
What is Monte Carlo Analysis?
Background/History
Why Should I Use Monte Carlo Simulation?
How Monte Carlo Simulation Works
بخشی از مقاله
Why Should I Use Monte Carlo Simulation?
Whenever you need to make an estimate, forecast or decision where there is significant uncertainty, consider Monte Carlo simulation – if you don’t, your estimates or forecasts could be way off the mark, with adverse consequences for your decisions! Dr. Sam Savage, a noted authority on simulation and other quantitative methods, says “Many people, when faced with an uncertainty … succumb to the temptation of replacing the uncertain number in question with a single average value. I call this the flaw of averages, and it is a fallacy as fundamental as the belief that the earth is flat.“ Or as Milton Freeman said “Don’t cross a river when you are told the average depth is 4 feet”
کلمات کلیدی:
Simulation and Modeling Efforts to Support Decision Making in ...https://www.hindawi.com/journals/tswj/2014/354246/by E AbuKhousa - 2014 - Cited by 14 - Related articlesNov 16, 2013 - The objective of this paper is to present and analyze past simulation and modeling (SM) efforts to support decision making in healthcare SCM, ...A Simulation Approach to Decision Making in IT Service Strategyhttps://www.hindawi.com/journals/tswj/2014/829156/by E Orta - 2014 - Related articlesDec 19, 2013 - We propose to use simulation modeling to support decision making in IT service strategy scope. Our main contribution is a simulation model ...[PDF]Now Bring Simulation In-house to Support Good Decision Makinghttps://www.simio.com/...simulation.../Bring-Simulation-In-house-to-Support-Good-D...Now Bring Simulation In-house to. Support Good Decision Making. Abstract. Simulation modeling enables organizations to make better decisions by letting them ...Searches related to Simulation in Decision Makingapplication of simulation techniques for decision makingsimulation model for decision makingwhen to use simulation modeluse of simulation with an exampledecision making simulation gamessimulation problems examplesuses of simulation in operations researchapplication of simulation in business decision making
